Beatrice Lang
In the 2024 United States presidential election, former president Donald Trump defeated incumbent Kamala Harris in the electoral college, winning 312 votes to Harris' 226. Trump's victory was attributed to several factors, including increased support among key demographic groups, such as non-college voters, rural residents, and Hispanic voters, as well as higher partisan turnout for Republicans. Analysts also pointed to the inflation surge, a global anti-incumbent wave, and the unpopularity of the Biden administration as contributing factors. This election marked a shift in voting patterns, with Trump making gains among groups that traditionally favoured the Democratic candidate.
| Characteristics | Values |
|---|---|
| Winner of the Electoral College | Trump (312 votes) |
| Loser of the Electoral College | Harris (226 votes) |
| Winner of the popular vote | Trump (49.8%) |
| Voter turnout | Higher among Republicans |
| Hispanic voters | Harris (52%), Trump (49%) |
| Black voters | Harris (83%), Trump (15%) |
| White voters | Trump (55%) |
| Male voters | Trump (55%) |
| Female voters | Trump (46%) |
| Protestant voters | Trump (62%) |
| Catholic voters | Trump (55%), Harris (43%) |
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What You'll Learn
Donald Trump won the 2024 election with 312 electoral votes
In a surprising turn of events, Donald Trump won the 2024 election with 312 electoral votes, defeating Kamala Harris who earned 226 votes. Trump's victory marks the second time he has been elected President, making him the second individual in history to win non-consecutive terms.
Trump's campaign focused on several key issues, including mass deportation of undocumented immigrants, an "America First" foreign policy agenda, and support for Israel in the Gaza War. Despite facing criticism for making misleading statements and facing an assassination attempt, Trump ultimately secured the Republican nomination and went on to win the election.
Trump's victory can be attributed to increased support from various demographic groups, including men, White evangelical Protestants, Catholics, and Black voters. He also flipped six states that had voted for Biden in 2020: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
The 2024 election saw a record-breaking ten presidential elections in a row with single-digit margins of victory in the popular vote. Trump's victory, with 49.8% of the votes cast for president, highlights the impact of differential partisan turnout and changing voter preferences.
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Trump flipped six states to win the Electoral College
In the 2024 United States presidential election, Donald Trump won the Electoral College with 312 votes to Kamala Harris' 226. Trump won every swing state, including Nevada, marking the first Republican win in the state since 2004. Trump's win in the Electoral College can be attributed to his gains with the working class, the 2021–2023 inflation surge, a global anti-incumbent wave, and the unpopularity of the Biden administration.
Trump flipped six states in the 2016 presidential election, winning the Electoral College with a majority of 538 electors. The six states that flipped from supporting Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016 were Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Wisconsin went Republican for the first time since 1984, while Pennsylvania and Michigan went red for the first time since 1988.
Trump's victory in 2016 was marked by a highly viewed election night, with over 28 million viewers on cable television and a total of 63.99 million including broadcast television. It was the fifth presidential election where the winning candidate lost the popular vote, and the eighth consecutive election where the victorious major party nominee did not receive a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin.
Trump's approval ratings have fluctuated during his administration, with some policy issues angering voters, such as tariffs and the handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case. However, Trump has gained more traction with Hispanic voters, a crucial demographic for Democrats, and has increased his approval rating among college-educated voters.
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Joe Biden won 306 electoral votes in 2020
In the 2020 United States presidential election, Joe Biden won 306 electoral votes. This was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. Joe Biden, the former vice president, and Kamala Harris, the incumbent US senator from California, were the Democratic ticket. They defeated the Republican ticket of incumbent president Donald Trump and vice president Mike Pence.
Biden won 25 states, the District of Columbia, and one congressional district in Nebraska, totalling 306 electoral votes. This result was almost the reverse of Trump's victory in 2016, when he won 306 electoral votes to his opponent's 232. Biden became the first Democrat since 2008 to carry Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, winning one electoral vote from the state. He also carried five states won by Trump in 2016: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Biden's victory in the 2020 election was significant for several reasons. Firstly, he became the oldest president ever elected, breaking the previous record held by Ronald Reagan in 1984. Additionally, Biden won the largest percentage of the popular vote for a challenger since 1932. The election also saw the highest voter turnout since 1900, with both tickets receiving more votes than in any previous election.
On December 14, 2020, the Electoral College formally elected Biden as president. This was confirmed by the Electoral College on May 1, 2021, when they announced that Biden had won and Trump had lost. Biden's victory in the Electoral College was a decisive moment in the 2020 presidential election, solidifying his position as the next president of the United States.
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Trump's victory margin was 1.5 percentage points
In the 2024 United States presidential election, Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris by 1.5 percentage points overall. Trump won the Electoral College with 312 votes to Harris' 226, and also won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.8%. Trump's victory margin of 1.5% is relatively small by historical standards, with only John F. Kennedy in 1960 and Nixon in 1968 winning the popular vote by smaller margins.
Trump's victory was attributed to several factors, including the 2021-2023 inflation surge, a global anti-incumbent wave, and his gains with specific voter groups. Trump's voter coalition in 2024 was more racially and ethnically diverse than in previous elections. He improved his performance among Hispanic voters, Asian voters, and Black voters, although a majority of these groups still supported Harris. Trump also continued to hold an edge among voters without four-year college degrees, winning this group by a margin of 56% to 42%.
Trump's victory in the popular vote was notable, as he became the first Republican to win the popular vote since George W. Bush in 2004. Additionally, Trump's win in Nevada marked the first time Republicans had won the state since 2004. Trump's victory in the Electoral College was more decisive, with his wins in all seven closely watched swing states giving him a significant advantage.
While Trump's victory handed him considerable power, with his party also winning both chambers of Congress, some analysts argued that the language of a "landslide" victory used by Trump and his supporters may be exaggerated. Trump's share of the vote fell below 50% as counting continued, and his margin of victory was smaller than in some recent elections.
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Kamala Harris needed 229,726 votes in three states to win
In the 2024 United States presidential election, Kamala Harris needed 229,726 votes in three states to win. Harris was the Democratic nominee, having replaced Biden after he withdrew from the race and endorsed her as his successor.
Harris needed to win the following three key battleground states to stay in the race: Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. These three states are part of the so-called "blue wall". Harris supporters were also hoping for wins in Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona.
Harris did win California, the state with the most electoral votes at 54. However, Trump secured Florida, which has the third most electoral votes with 30. The results for Texas, with the second most electoral votes at 40, were still unknown.
Ultimately, Trump won the Electoral College, gaining 312 electoral votes to Harris' 226. Trump also won the national popular vote with 49.8%, becoming the first Republican to do so since George W. Bush in 2004.
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Frequently asked questions
Donald Trump won the 2024 United States presidential election with 312 electoral votes to Kamala Harris' 226.
Trump won by a margin of 86 electoral votes.
Trump's gains among several key groups of voters, including Hispanic voters, Black voters, and Protestant voters, proved decisive in his 2024 victory.
55% of men voted for Trump in 2024, compared to 46% of women.
Yes, Trump won the national popular vote with a plurality of 49.8%.
